Galco.jpg                 

  

50 club.jpg

 

Cutting it close: Florida’s fate may be a matter of miles
Miami, Fla.
   
 
More Today's News:
ߦ   Galveston PD Sergeant indicted for violence against family member
ߦ   Gun Shops & Shooting Ranges in Galveston can now be located near schools & places of Worship
ߦ   Harris County launches unit to investigate stalking, prevent domestic violence
ߦ   MS-13 member who’d been deported caught in South Texas illegally
ߦ   Officer Involved Shooting
ߦ   Woman walks away uninjured after tire crashes into her windshield on I-45 S
ߦ   Boy Scout official sentenced to 30 years of prison for sexually exploiting children as well as receiving and distributing child pornography
ߦ   Child Advocates of Fort Bend Named Beneficiary of Fort Bend Junior Service League Sugar Plum Market
ߦ   Coast Guard continues search for 2 fishermen after vessel collision in Galveston
ߦ   Fresno Area Homicide Investigation
ߦ   Gang Member Sentenced to 108 Months in Federal Prison for Possession of Stolen Firearms
ߦ   Investigation into Assault at 2600 Kettering Drive
ߦ   Investigation into Fatal Crash at 7508 Westheimer Road
ߦ   Investigation into Fatal Shooting at 3100 Fairdale Lane
ߦ   Investigation into Stabbing Incident at 8610 Almeda Road
ߦ   Mexican Man Sentenced To 13 Months in Federal Prison for Being an Illegal Alien in Possession of a Firearm
ߦ   Pedestrian Fatality Update
ߦ   Coast Guard searching for 2 fishermen after vessel collision in Galveston
ߦ   Bill would require public release of information related to officer-involved shootings
ߦ   Justice Department Announces Settlement with Walmart Over Discrimination Claim by Naval Reservist

 
Search Archives:

For Florida, just a handful of miles may make a huge difference in Hurricane Dorian’s slow dance with the coast.

The National Hurricane Center forecasts Dorian to be 40 to 50 miles off the Florida coast on Tuesday and Wednesday, with hurricane-force wind speeds extending about 35 miles to the west.

But that’s just one point that forecasters have to choose to place the monstrous storm that packed 185 mph winds on Sunday. It could be within 100 miles of that point, which is why the hurricane center uses — and emphasizes — a shaded cone of uncertainty.

And much of the Florida coast is inside that cone.

Center Director Ken Graham is telling residents don’t bet on safety just because his office specific forecast track has the storm just a bit offshore.

“The cone is so important,” Graham said.

And making matters more touch-and-go is that with every new forecast, “we keep nudging (Dorian’s track) a little bit to the left,” which is closer to the Florida coast, he said.

Dorian is a powerful but small hurricane with hurricane-force winds Sunday only extending 29 miles to the west, but they are expecting to grow a bit. That makes forecasting the storm’s path along the coast — either just off the coast, skirting it or moving inland with a direct hit — delicate and difficult. Just a few miles west or east makes the difference between devastation and bad but not horrible damage, meteorologists said.

“Where it doesn’t directly hit, it’s not going to be a huge problem,” Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach said.

With a big, sloppy hurricane — say 50% larger in size — all of Florida would be under a serious threat, but that’s not the case, said University of Miami hurricane researcher Brian McNoldy.

This is what makes this a nightmare for forecasters, McNoldy said.

It’s a combination of the small size, close-in track, like Matthew in 2016, and weak steering currents. That means just a smidge of a movement days ahead of time, while Dorian is in the Bahamas, can reverberate and mean a direct hit or not, said private meteorologist Ryan Maue.

That can happen just because of the timing of when Dorian’s eyewall collapses and is replaced, which happens normally in storms.

Adding to that problem is Dorian’s slow, almost snail-like pace. What initially looked like a Labor Day storm for the U.S. is now approaching Tuesday and Wednesday.

“People are getting impatient with this,” McNoldy said. Because the threat seems to keep sticking around, it could be a problem getting the right message across, he said.

Klotzbach said he thinks the U.S. East Coast will get “scraped,” but Dorian will stay just offshore, something Maue agrees with.

Maue warns, however, that two days of high waves and heavy storm surge — the hurricane center is predicting 4 to 7 feet from West Palm Beach north to Cocoa Beach area — could severely damage Florida’s beaches.

Post a comment
Name/Nickname:
(required)
Email Address: (must be a valid address)
(will not be published or shared)
Comments: (plain text only)
Printer Friendly Format  Printer Friendly Format    Send to a Friend  Send to a Friend    RSS Feed  RSS Feed
© 1999-2020 The Police News. All rights reserved.